Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.586743 0.650293 0.718972 0.798894 0.889570 0.989514 1.108368
2025-08-31 0.480900 0.567256 0.667764 0.794158 0.949939 1.137050 1.380901
2025-09-07 0.423994 0.521140 0.639935 0.797430 1.003047 1.265578 1.631340
2025-09-14 0.376946 0.478310 0.607136 0.785225 1.028744 1.355595 1.837020
2025-09-21 0.341823 0.445536 0.581727 0.776872 1.054665 1.444292 2.047503
2025-09-28 0.305803 0.407438 0.544535 0.746925 1.044936 1.478862 2.180172
2025-10-05 0.290420 0.395633 0.541487 0.763493 1.102041 1.614713 2.482031
2025-10-12 0.275979 0.383578 0.536484 0.775835 1.152851 1.745110 2.791429
2025-10-19 0.261424 0.369966 0.527705 0.781003 1.192049 1.860152 3.089571
2025-10-26 0.248283 0.357281 0.519010 0.784988 1.228905 1.974240 3.400763
2025-11-02 0.237484 0.347214 0.513295 0.792780 1.272126 2.102949 3.756276
2025-11-09 0.221767 0.328462 0.492594 0.774073 1.267876 2.146822 3.954507
2025-11-16 0.213157 0.320450 0.488627 0.783452 1.314530 2.289960 4.376519
2025-11-23 0.202284 0.308140 0.476851 0.778475 1.334885 2.386368 4.718286
2025-11-30 0.193989 0.299403 0.470221 0.781684 1.370225 2.515171 5.150542
2025-12-07 0.183626 0.286601 0.455859 0.769763 1.375420 2.583944 5.458602
2025-12-14 0.174776 0.275784 0.444133 0.761605 1.386906 2.666558 5.812696
2025-12-21 0.163080 0.259512 0.421975 0.732352 1.353626 2.650603 5.924234
2025-12-28 0.159595 0.257067 0.423853 0.748537 1.413902 2.844074 6.597138
2026-01-04 0.155667 0.253603 0.423645 0.760593 1.466678 3.027416 7.280495
2026-01-11 0.150944 0.248464 0.420051 0.765641 1.504915 3.182091 7.917492
2026-01-18 0.146352 0.243298 0.416066 0.769533 1.540913 3.335950 8.584653
2026-01-25 0.142534 0.239314 0.414012 0.777142 1.585869 3.517427 9.373751